Acta Oeconomica Pragensia 2010, 18(6):27-48 | DOI: 10.18267/j.aop.320

Why Has the Central Bank of Egypt Been Unable to Achieve The Goal of Price Stability Under the Economic Reform Program?

Ibrahim L. Awad
Zagazig University, Faculty of Commerce, Egypt (ibrahimphd@yahoo.com).

This paper assesses the performance of the monetary policy in Egypt during the periods following the introduction of the economic reform and structural adjustment program (ERSAP). It sets out to answer the question why the Central Bank of Egypt (CBE) has not been able to achieve the goal of price stability under the ERSAP? The study compares the economic performance from the 1990s with both its counterpart in Germany, during the same periods, and with the economic performance of the Egyptian economy during the periods before the 1990s, i.e., 1975-1990. The study concludes that the CBE could have brought the rate of inflation down; nevertheless, the unemployment and real GDP growth rates have worsened and a price stability is still far away. The failure to achieve price stability is explained by two reasons, namely, a conflict between monetary policy objectives and a chronic budget deficit financed by issuing new money.

Keywords: Price Stability, Monetary Policy Objectives, Economic Reform in Egypt
JEL classification: E31, E40, E42, E50

Published: October 1, 2010  Show citation

ACS AIP APA ASA Harvard Chicago Chicago Notes IEEE ISO690 MLA NLM Turabian Vancouver
Awad, I.L. (2010). Why Has the Central Bank of Egypt Been Unable to Achieve The Goal of Price Stability Under the Economic Reform Program? Acta Oeconomica Pragensia18(6), 27-48. doi: 10.18267/j.aop.320
Download citation

References

  1. ABU-ELAYOUN, M. 2003. Monetary Policy in Egypt: A version for future (Arabic). [Working Paper, No 78]. [Online]. ECES, 2003. www.eces.org.eg/Publications/View_Pub.asp?p_id= 10&p_ detail_id=134#mytop.
  2. AL-MASHAT, R. 2008. Monetary Policy in Egypt: A Retrospective and Preparedness of Inflation Targeting [Working Paper No. 134]. [Online]. ECES, 2008. www.eces.org.eg/Publications/View_Pub. asp?p_id=10&p_detail_id=18#mytop.
  3. AWAD, I. L. 2002. The Phenomenon of Stagflation in the Egyptian Economy: Analytical study (Arabic). [Online]. Zagazig University, Faculty of commerce, 2002. http://econpapers.repec.org/scripts/redir.pl?u = http%3A%2F%2Fmpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de%2F5465%2F01%2FMPRA_ paper_5465.pdf;h=repec:pra:mprapa:5465.
  4. AWAD, I. L. 2008. Towards Measurement of Political Pressure on Central Banks: The case of the Central Bank of Egypt. Prague Economic Papers. 2008, vol. XVII, no 3, s. 254-275. Go to original source...
  5. AWAD, I. L. 2009. Did Egypt Satisfy Prerequisites for an IT Regime? Acta Oeconomica Pragensia. 2009, vol. 17, no 6, s. 63-80. Go to original source...
  6. BATINI, N.; KUTTNER, K.; LAXTON, D. 2005. World Economic Outlook: Building Institutions, Ch. IV. [Online]. IMF, September, 2005. www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/weo/2005/02/index.htm.
  7. CBE (2002-2003). Economic Review [Online]. Vol. 43, no. 4. www.cbe.org.eg/Publications.htm.
  8. CBE (2005-2006). Economic Review [Online]. Vol. 46, no. 1. www.cbe.org.eg/Publications.htm.
  9. CBE (2006-2007). Economic Review [Online]. Vol. 47, no. 2. www.cbe.org.eg/Publications.htm.
  10. FLEMMING, M. J. 1962. Domestic Financial Policies under Fixed and under Floating Exchange Rates. IMF Staff Papers. 1962, vol. 9, s. 369-379. Go to original source...
  11. GALAL, A. 2003. To Float or Not Float: That is No Longer the Question for Egypt [Policy Viewpoint No. 13]. ECES, 2003.
  12. GOODFRIEND, M. 2008. The Case for Price Stability with a Flexible Exchange Rate in the New Neoclassical Synthesis. Cato Journal. 2008, vol.25, no. 2, s. 247-254.
  13. KAMAR, B.; BAKARDZHIEVA, D. 2005. Economic Trilemma and Exchange Rate Management in Egypt. Review of Middle East Economics and Finance. 2005, vol. 3, no. 2. [Online]. www.bepress.com/rmeef/vol3/iss2/art1. Go to original source...
  14. KORAYEM, K. 1997. Egypt's Economic Reform and Structural Adjustment [Working Paper No.19]. ECES, 1997.
  15. MOURSI, T. A.; MAI, E. M.; ZAKAREYA, E. 2007. Effects of Some Recent Changes in Egyptian Monetary Policy: Measurement and Evaluation [Working Paper No. 122]. ECES, 2007.
  16. MUNDELL, R. 1963. Capital Mobility and Stabilization Policy under Fixed and Flexible Exchange Rates. Canadian Journal of Economics and Political Science. 1963, vol.29, s. 475-485. Go to original source...
  17. NASSAR, H. A. 1989. Unemployment and Investment Policies. In SOLIMAN, S. (ed.). Unemployment in Egypt. Cairo : Faculty of Economics and Social Sciences, 1989.
  18. PANIZZA, U. 2001. Macroeconomic policies in Egypt: An Interpretation of the Past and Options for the Future [Working Paper No. 61]. [Online]. ECES, 2001. www.eces.org.eg/Uploaded_ Files/%7BEA853B45-7859-4B86-8281-9877B386B4CC%7D_ECESWP61e.pdf.
  19. RICHARDS, A. 2001. The Political Economy of Economic Reform in the Middle East: The Challenge to Governance. Santa Cruz : University of California, 2001.

This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (CC BY 4.0), which permits use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original publication is properly cited. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.