Acta Oeconomica Pragensia 2008, 16(3):40-46 | DOI: 10.18267/j.aop.103
Asymptotic Probability Distribution of Sample Maximum
- Doc Ing. Jana Kahounová, CSc.; Katedra statistiky a pravděpodobnosti, Fakulta informatiky a statistiky, Vysoká škola ekonomická v Praze, kahoun@vse.cz.
Extreme value theory is the most scientific approach to an inherently difficult problem - predicting the possibility that an extreme event will occur. Broadly speaking, there are two kinds of models for extreme values. The first group of models are models for a distribution of normalized maximum (minimum) of the sequence of independent identically distributed random variables. The second, more modern, group of models are the peaks-over-threshold (POT) models. These are models for all large observations which exceed a threshold. This paper is concentrated on the first type of model. Here, the maximum loss of a bank caused by different technological accidents and natural disasters is treated.
Keywords: extreme value theory, Gumbel distribution, method of point estimation
JEL classification: C24
Published: June 1, 2008 Show citation
References
- EMBRECHTS, P.; KLÜPPELBERG, C.; MIKOSCH, T. 1997. Modelling Extremal Events. Wien : Springer Verlag, 1997.
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- TIAGO DE OLIVEIRA, J., 1963. Decision results for the parameters of the extreme value (Gumbel) distribution based on the mean and the standard deviation. Trabajos de Estadística, 1963, 14, s. 61-81.
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